I feel like I've been generally about as exhaustive as I can be about the impact/existence of the "urban exodus" in the GTA, but you can expect a little bit more data in the future. The team at informedrealtor.com is putting together a visual timeline video. BlogTO & Zoocasa posted a great map detailing price growth across the GTA that echoed my original exodus mapping project. From my perspective, price is the more important metric than individual or household... [read more]

Coronavirus, more formally known as the disease Covid-19, and the infection Sars-Cov-2, just became a lot more real for North Americans, as it's finally permeated our two favourite things, the economy, and pop-culture. There is a travel ban between Europe & USA. All major indices are in bear-market territory. The NBA is shutting down, an NBA all star is infected (and touched a bunch of microphones as a joke), Tom Hanks and his partner are infected, etc. etc. Covid is obviously a thing,... [read more]

I’m going to outline the 3 housing buyer groups most impacted by current market conditions… which are: house prices rising stock market declining declining interest rates If you’d prefer to read this in tweets click here: https://twitter.com/WTFoch/status/1237721132113018886 If you’d prefer to watch me talk about this in less than 1 minute, check out my IG story: https://www.instagram.com/danielfoch/ 1. Small-cap investors: Small cap... [read more]

Today’s 3-pointer will be brief, and it could very quickly become functionally irrelevant as the coronavirus panic spreads from grocery stores to real estate viewings. There are 3 statistically-biased reasons you really shouldn’t get too wrapped up in the idea that “spring market” pricing is any different than the other seasons: People – selection bias Product – selection bias Pricing – observer bias I have this... [read more]

3-Pointer  Below is a list of the 3 types of listings that will perform the best while the spring market is on pause, in the event of a shutdown comparable to Italy or Wuhan. I think that we’re currently at the onset of what seems to be an interesting shift in consumer psychology, where the attentiveness to “hot spring market” narrative is being usurped by “lockdown” +/- “DJIA limit down”… it appears the media fear mongering is... [read more]